This first program in the three part series deals with the personal mindset of the analyst, striving to achieve objectivity while confronting the foibles of natural competing interests.
The second program will deal with the professional analyst, striving to achieve ethical analysis while confronting competing behaviours that are natural to the corporate environment. The third program will deal with the societal outlook on world affairs, striving to achieve a greater understanding by considering behaviours that are natural to major world power structures.
| Reasoning: Deductive
Certainty: Verifiable Rationality: Empiric Dependency: Subject Absolute Entity: Particularized |
 |
| Section | Objective Calculation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Fundamentals of Logic Objective Audit Procedure Production Regulation Technique |
| S2 | Human Factors | The Intelligence Quotient (IQ) Rationality The Non Sequitur Fallacy |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | The Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. President Wilson, Edward Mendel House & Jekyll Island 2. VHS and Beta Max 3. The Edsel 4. Windows Vista 5. Challenger Launch 6. Love and Accounting 7. Conspiracy Theory and con bias 8. The Rockefeller Institute 9. Rothschild’s Banking 10. City of London |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Constructing a Logical Argument: http://www.virtualschool.edu/mon/SocialConstruction/Logic.html Logic In Argumentative Writing: https://owl.english.purdue.edu/owl/owlprint/659/ Bayesian Logic: http://whatis.techtarget.com/definition/Bayesian-logic Human Side - IQ History of Intelligence Testing http://psychology.about.com/od/psychologicaltesting/a/int-history.htm |
| Reasoning: Inductive
Certainty: Verifiable Rationality: Empiric Dependency: Subject Absolute Entity: Particularized |
 |
| Section | Objective Validation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Objective Experimental Procedure Objective Product Testing Procedure Objective Job Evaluation Procedure |
| S2 | Human Factors | Belief Systems Religion and Ideology Faith vs. Science Dogma |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. Piltdown Man Hoax 2. Time Travel 3. String Theory 4. The Foer Effect 5. Spiritual Truth 6. Life After Death 7. Shrodinger’s Cat 8. Jan Henrick Schon, Bell 9. The Sokal Affair 10. Carbon Dating and Creationism |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Scientific Method: http://physics.ucr.edu/~wudka/Physics7/Notes_www/node6.html Six Steps of the Scientific Method: http://go.hrw.com/resources/go_sc/hst/HZ1PE735.PDF The Experimental Method: https://www.colby.edu/biology/BI17x/expt_method.html Human Side - Belief Systems What are Belief Systems: http://www.vub.ac.be/CLEA/FOS/cfp/what-are-belief-systems.pdf |
| Reasoning: Inductive
Certainty: Rationalized Rationality: Empiric Dependency: Subject Absolute Entity: Particularized |
 |
| Section | Objective Estimation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Objective Extrapolation Procedure Objective Regression Analysis Objective Testing Procedure |
| S2 | Human Factors | Affinity for Ambiguity Sufficiency Accuracy Objectivity of the Terms of Reference |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. Casinos and Return on Investment 2. Let’s Make a Deal 3. Madoff Ponzi Scheme 4. Lottery Numbers 123 5. Bicycle Helmets are bad 6. Ben Johnson Doping 7. Which Hospital 8. Perform. Meas. Image 9. Car Stats – best in class 10. The Product Survey |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Fundamentals of Probability, Statistics, Experiments and Data: https://en.wikiversity.org/wiki/Fundamentals_of_Probability,_Statistics,_Experiments_and_Data An Introduction to Regression Analysis: http://www.law.uchicago.edu/files/files/20.Sykes_.Regression.pdf Forecasting Methods and Statistics: http://johngalt.com/galt_university/learning-resources/forecasting-methods-statistics/ Human Side - Affinity for Ambiguity Tolerating Ambiguity http://knowinnovation.com/2013/04/tolerating-ambiguity/ |
| Reasoning: Abductive
Certainty: Rationalized Rationality: Empiric Dependency: Subject Absolute Entity: Particularized |
 |
| Section | Objective Estimation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Complexity Diagnostic Procedure: Risk Registry Objective Proposal Management |
| S2 | Human Factors | Maturity Curve Dynamic Baseline Model Learning Curve Short Term vs. Long Term responsibility Band Wagon Effect Undue Simplification |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. The Chunnel 2. Montreal Olympics 76 3. The Quebec Bridge 4. F35 5. Apollo and the JFK dream 6. PEI Link 7. The Walmart Formula 8. The Chip 9. The Kurske 10. Pipelines and First Nations |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Dynamic Baseline Model: http://www.pmi.org/learning/dynamic-baseline-model-pm-1998 A Five Step Risk Management Model: http://www.jiscinfonet.ac.uk/infokits/risk-management/five-step-model/ Proposal Management Process: http://www.slideshare.net/anandsubramaniam/proposal-management-process-2755455 Human Side - Maturity Kerzner PM Maturity Assessment: http://www.iil.com/kpm3/ |
| Reasoning: Abductive
Certainty: Rationalized Rationality: Quasi Empiric Dependency: Subject Absolute Entity: Particularized |
 |
| Section | Objective Determination & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Decision Theory Job Classification Procedure Case Management Procedure |
| S2 | Human Factors | Bias Pressure to Conform Vested Interest |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. Marilyn Monroe 2. OJ Simpson 3. Judge Appointments 4. Princess Diana 5. Hugo Chavez 6. Tim Bowers, Barry Jennings 7. Maher Arar 8. Roselli, Nicoletti and Giancana 9. Rubi and Oswald 10. Monsanto Litigations |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Decision Theory: A Brief Introduction: http://people.kth.se/~soh/decisiontheory.pdf Methods of Pairwise Comparison: https://www.math.ku.edu/~jmartin/courses/math105-F11/Lectures/chapter1-part4.pdf Tools for Decision Analysis: http://home.ubalt.edu/ntsbarsh/business-stat/opre/partIX.htm Human Side - Bias Avoiding Psychological Bias: https://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/avoiding-psychological-bias.htm |
| Reasoning: Abductive
Certainty: Rationalized Rationality: Quasi Empiric Dependency: Subject Relative Entity: Particularized |
 |
| Section | Objective Observation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Health Diagnostic Procedure Career Counselling Procedure Competency Testing |
| S2 | Human Factors | Personality Types Empathy |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. Cigarettes are good 2. Don’t hesitate, medicate 3. Flu Shot? 4. Food Labeling 5. Thalidomide 6. H1N1 7. Stem Cell Research 8. Olympic Drug Testing 9. Legalization of Marijuana 10. Definition – what is a cold |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis The Process of Diagnosis: http://medicine.ucsf.edu/education/resed/articles/jama6_the_process.pdf Medical Procedures: http://www.betterhealth.vic.gov.au/bhcv2/bhcarticles.nsf/pages/Medical_procedures?open Diagnosis: http://www.britannica.com/topic/diagnosis Human Side - Personality Type Personality Type Explained: http://www.humanmetrics.com/personality/type |
| Reasoning: Abductive
Certainty: Rationalized Rationality: Quasi Empiric Dependency: Subject Relative Entity: Generic |
 |
| Section | Objective Interpretation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Objective Debate Procedure Objective Interview Technique Objective Investigation Procedure |
| S2 | Human Factors | Group Think Forms of Power |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. Printing Press 2. The Internet 3. Volume & Sound bites 4. Bohr & Einstein 5. Abortion 6. Euthanasia debate 7. Kennedy Nixon debate 8. Control of the Internet 9. Same Sex Marriage 10. Pravda and the Mainstream Media |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Guidelines for Conducting a Debate: http://www2.maxwell.syr.edu/plegal/crit3/a5.html Rules of Debate: http://www.parl.gc.ca/About/House/compendium/web-content/c_d_rulesdebate-e.htm Human Side - Group Think What is Group Think? http://www.psysr.org/about/pubs_resources/groupthink%20overview.htm |
| Reasoning: Abductive
Certainty: Rationalized Rationality: Normative Dependency: Subject Relative Entity: Generic |
 |
| Section | Objective Reconciliation & The Individual | |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | Method | Objective Dispute Resolution Procedure Arbitration Procedure Consensus Building Procedure |
| S2 | Human Factors | The Emotional Quotient (EQ) |
| S3 | Analysis of Analysis | Tactical Audit |
| S4 | Case Studies |
1. Jones Town 2. The Davidian Complex 3. Hari Krishna 4. Pearl Harbour 5. Westborough Baptist Church 6. Senate Scandal 7. No Fly List and Political Dissent 8. The Glass Ceiling 9. Mayor Juliani 10. Election Machines 2000 |
| S5 | References |
Objective Analysis Dispute Resolution Procedure: http://www.goarch.org/archdiocese/documents/pdf/disputeresolution.pdf The Role of the Facilitator: http://www.virginia.edu/processsimplification/resources/Facilitator.pdf Mediation and Arbitration: http://www.fresnomediator.com/The_Process.html Human Side - EQ What is Emotional Intelligence: http://psychcentral.com/lib/what-is-emotional-intelligence-eq/ |
